If you have suggestions for a reason other than those already available as an option, please comment and I will add it. I am not allowing free-response to mitigate spam of low-quality answers.
Resolution will be to either YES/NO for each option that qualifies if it is obvious, else resolves to PROB (default : 50%) for an ambiguous "sort of but not fully" situation.
Multiple slowdowns can happen. For example, if supply chain issues cause it but we recover from those and then start running into hardware bottlenecks, both of those options will be resolved to YES.
1,000
3.00@firstuserhere Political opposition to AI development. A legal system that cannot change quickly or effectively enough to facilitate development prevents rollout via privacy, copyright, liability laws, etc. OR voting pressure on democratically elected politicians from economically/religiously fearful electorates makes them vote against funding research/increases burdensome regulation requirements/breaks up a company said to have a “monopoly” to a degree it makes real AI progress for them no longer financially feasible.
(Would “WWIII” fall under “major supply chain disruptions”?)