What will the next flagship OpenAI model be called?
10
Ṁ10262027
23%
GPT-6
23%
GPT-5.1
11%
o4
44%
Market resolves to the name of the next flagship OpenAI model.
Important: flagship is subjectively defined by me. In my opinion, a model doesn’t need to be widely available to be flagship.
Models in the past I would have seen as flagship: GPT-4, GPT-4o, o1, o3, GPT-5
Models I wouldn’t have seen as flagship: GPT-4.1, o1 pro, o3 pro, Agent, Codex.
Models I would have no clue how to resolve: o1-preview.
Update 2025-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator does not consider GPT-4.5 a flagship model.
Variants labeled mini or nano are not considered flagship.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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