Thinking Machines to top Chatbot Arena by EOY 2026?
5
Ṁ2202026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
Resolves YES if a model created by Thinking Machines reaches the top of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard by EOY 2026.
Background
Thinking Machines Lab is a new AI company whose CEO is Mira Murati (former CTO of OpenAI).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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