By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
Plus
17
Ṁ14992032
81%
United States
69%
China
40%
India
40%
Canada
40%
Germany
40%
Italy
40%
France
39%
United Kingdom
39%
Japan
10%
Russia
This market does not count Apollo astronauts; only astronauts who walk on the moon after market creation will count.
To add countries, please use a simple, English, colloquial name for the country. I reserve the right to make good faith edits to new answers in order to match the style.
This market closes a few days after New Year’s Day to allow for clarity around potential ambiguous circumstances.
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By 2030, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
By 2032, which countries will have citizens who have walked on the moon? (post-Apollo)
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"China is ready with lunar spacesuit in latest step towards 2030 moon landing"
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3280375/china-ready-lunar-spacesuit-latest-step-towards-2030-moon-landing
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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