If I’m successfully cryopreserved, will I be revived? | Manifold

If I’m successfully cryopreserved, will I be revived?

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Ṁ118

3525

19%

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Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if I am successfully revived after being cryopreserved. "Revived" is defined as being restored to a state of consciousness and functional health. (Being healthy etc. in an uploaded state counts, if I’m simulated faithfully/with results identical to atomic-level precision of simulation.)

The market will remain open indefinitely until such an event occurs or is deemed impossible.

If the market on my successful cryopreservation resolves to No, this resolves to N/A.

Update 2025-07-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the standard for a 'faithful' simulation in the context of an upload. The condition of having results 'identical to atomic-level precision' will be considered met if the log-probabilities of the creator's words are the same as the original.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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"with results identical to atomic-level precision of simulation" Hmm. That's seems like an overly strict standard. As long as it's mostly you...

@SG if the result is the same as an atomic-level simulation (i.e., the logprobs of my words are the same), that counts

bought Ṁ50 NO

The track record of cryopreservation companies so far is very not good.

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