MANIFOLD
Browse
News
About
App
Add funds
(Sale 64% off)
Sign up
Get
1,000
and
3.00
Dark
Light
(auto)
Sign in
Cabinet
CEO Shooter
Sora
What Will Trump Do?
OpenAI
Bitcoin
Korea Martial Law
Ding v. Gukesh
Golden Globes
Glicked 🏟️🧹
2028 Election
Israel
AGI Timelines
Biden
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Fed Rates
Nvidia
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts
Politics & AI
Manifold AI
Newsweek
Donald Trump raises red flag on AI: "So scary"
Former President Donald Trump called AI maybe "the most dangerous" thing out there.
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
51%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2110
Ṁ5540
Semiotic Rivalry
Plus
Will a specific AI image or video model be mentioned by anyone in a presidential debate in 2024?
NO
35
Ṁ1000
~deleted~
Plus
Will the left/right culture war come for AI before the end of 2024?
5%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
174
Ṁ1515
Matthew Barnett
Plus
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
NO
2847
Ṁ6895
Vox
President Biden’s new plan to regulate AI
The White House spells out its vision for governing the powerful technology.
Arky
Plus
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
51%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
59
Ṁ1000
Nathan Scott ♠︎
Plus
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
113
Ṁ6703
Nathan Scott ♠︎
Plus
If Biden is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
N/A
43
Ṁ6615
Semiotic Rivalry
Plus
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
21%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
22
Ṁ1000
See more questions:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.
•
Terms
+
Mana-only Terms
•
Privacy
•
Rules
Browse
Markets
News
About
Sign in