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Cabinet
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What Will Trump Do?
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Biden
Manifold Politics
Johnny
Premium
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
1807
Ṁ10k
Maxim Lott
Crystal
Will Joe Biden pardon Hunter Biden before Jan 21, 2025?
YES
1093
Ṁ100k
Jack
Plus
Will Biden be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 this term?
1%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
78
Ṁ1000
jim
Premium
Will Biden finish his term?
97%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2392
Ṁ76k
George
Plus
Will Joe Biden resign the US Presidency before the election November 5, 2024?
NO
68
Ṁ1000
AGG
Plus
Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
56
Ṁ1000
Magnus
Plus
If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?
0.1%
Biden does not drop out, does not resign
Yes
No
Open options
0.1%
Biden does not drop out, resigns
Yes
No
Open options
96%
Biden drops out, does not resign
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Biden drops out and resigns
Yes
No
Open options
225
Ṁ1000
Ammon Lam
Plus
Will Joe Biden resign during his first term?
3%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
88
Ṁ1000
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