Will I (@typeofemale) detransition by 2030
10
Ṁ339
2029
12%
chance

Some people think I will which is why I want to make a market.

  • Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In the event of the creator's death before 2030:

    • The market will resolve to YES if they leave a note stating a desire to detransition and be referred to as he/him.

    • The market will resolve to NO if no such note is found.

  • Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question about what happens if the creator dies before 2030, they stated the following:

    • The market will resolve to YES if a note is left stating a desire to detransition and be referred to as he/him.

    • The market will resolve to NO if no such note is found.

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opened a Ṁ100 YES at 12% order

I suppose I hope you don't, or at least do what you think is best for you, but my yes is somewhat based on pattern behavior of other detransitioners. You'll have my platonic adoration either way

i am thinking of pulling the market off of manifold you people genuinely cannot behave yourselves esp @TheAllMemeingEye

Does this require you to actually internally want to identify as a man or does finding yourself forced by circumstance to make boymoding a permanent arrangement count?

What happens if you kill yourself before 2030? Does it resolve NO or N/A?

@Cyril if I say in a note that I wanted to detrans and want to be he/himmed then resolves to Yes, if nothing then it resolves to No

bought Ṁ50 NO

@typeofemale that's not fair because it's difficult to take you seriously. You need to demonstrate it.

@Anon99 demonstrate what?

@typeofemale for public information, I have posted on r/detrans over the past couple of months

@typeofemale manning up

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Anon99 ok I will start going to the gym and bulking up

@Cyril O_O holy shit that's a dark question to ask

@Anon99 True but a very good one

@typeofemale I hope that doesn't mean you consider the probability of that outcome to be significant :(

@TheAllMemeingEye well you get to bet on it!

@typeofemale Where would you place yourself on this scale, both on average and maximum this past week? (to determine how worried to be / how much help (MENTAL HEALTH ADVICE) to offer, not for betting)

https://emmengard.com/2019/05/07/suicide-scale/

@typeofemale also since you mentioned posting on r/detrans, are you ok with sharing / us finding the associated posts, or would you rather keep that private? Either is totally fine

@typeofemale i'm actually happy but just lowkey venting about this and seeing whether other people think i will detransition over the next 6 years

@TheAllMemeingEye well i deleted those posts weeks ago

@typeofemale phew, glad to hear you're ok, was getting scared it was going to be a repeat of what happened to the user who made the tits vs ass market for a minute

@TheAllMemeingEye tbf I am unhappy with the way you engage with many of my markets

@TheAllMemeingEye isn't it illegal to assist someone in killing themselves? why would you publicly confess to wanting to participate in a crime? and also please try to keep the comments restricted to betting. We're not here to facilitate murder—just to discuss betting odds!

@Cyril yes, thank you for saying this

@Cyril What?! I am extremely confused and upset at your accusation.

I saw you asking out of the blue what effect suicide would have on resolution, which struck me as a shocking and potentially community-guidelines-breaking comment to even make, and then when I saw that she answered it with actual conditional outcomes I got intensely worried that she might actually be contemplating (as I have in the past, my highest persistent rating on the scale would have been 8 a few years back). As I do when my friends and family hint at suicidal contemplation, I shared the suicide scale comic as a friendly yet precise way to gauge how bad it was, and was relieved to learn that she is not actually in danger.

Is the misunderstanding that my offer of "help" was interpreted as meaning "help to commit suicide"? That was absolutely not what I intended to convey, I meant it as in "help to survive the suicidal thoughts". I am terribly sorry for any offense caused to @typeofemale if that was indeed the misunderstanding, I have edited the comment to clarify.

If this is not the case, then please help me understand what I did wrong, so I can avoid causing any further harm :(

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