Background
On March 16-17, 2025, the Trump administration deported hundreds of individuals to El Salvador, primarily Venezuelans alleged to be members of the Tren de Aragua gang. This operation was conducted under the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, which allows for expedited removal of foreigners during wartime or invasion. The deportations proceeded despite a federal judge's order to pause the operation.
Secretary of State Marco Rubio has mentioned that the agreement with El Salvador could potentially involve deporting dangerous criminals who are U.S. citizens or legal residents, though as of March 17, 2025, there is no specific information confirming that any American citizens were among those deported in this operation.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to YES if credible evidence emerges that at least one person deported to El Salvador as part of the March 2025 deportation operation was a U.S. citizen at the time of their deportation. This includes anybody who was deported to El Salvador on or before March 17th by the Trump administration.
The market will resolve to NO if No such evidence emerges.
Credible evidence would include:
Government acknowledgments or corrections
Court findings
Verified documentation of citizenship status
Reliable media reports
1,000
3.00Considering resolving this one early as "NO", within a month or so, in light of extensive reporting on the original detainees. This included reporting that claimed to see internal government documents with a list of the detainees' identities, went public with issues like widespread lack of criminal records and in at least one case a "don't send to El Salvador" ruling, but did not identify any citizens. If one had been a citizen, it seems very likely the evidence would have appeared by now.
If anybody has an objection, please make it here.
@AbuElBanat Agreed – just found this market and started buying a bunch of NO stock for this exact reason before even seeing your comment.