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Will OpenAI go back on its voluntary commitment to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
39% chance
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18% chance
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21% chance
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27% chance
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32% chance
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62% chance
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77% chance
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19% chance
Will manifold think "it would be safer if all AI was open source" when:
Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
71% chance