SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
23
Ṁ1882
2027
19%
chance

This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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