When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Plus
27
Ṁ42282030
1%
Before 2026
4%
Before 2027
15%
Before 2028
59%
Before 2029
75%
Before 2030
Resolved
NOBefore 2025
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface). It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
I do not bet on my own questions.
Similar question about launch and landing:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
My other questions about Starship milestones:
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-4th-starship-launch-h
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-5-happen
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-spacex-starship-reach-orb
/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-wit
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
When will Starship flight 12 happen?
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
-
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
When will Starship complete an orbit?
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
Before which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?
When will Starship complete a full crewed mission from earth?
-