If Yudkowsky is offered VP nomination, does he accept?
Basic
11
Ṁ2052032
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If at any point before January 1, 2032 Yudkowsky is offered to become or to run to become a US VP, the market resolves to Yes if he accepts; no if he doesn’t accept within a year of the offer. The market resolves N/A if we don’t learn of any such offers.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
91% chance
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?
90% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
53% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will Yudkowsky ever testify to U.S. Congress?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
6% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky lose his bet with Unknown?
72% chance
Will I spend a significant amount of time on creating chances for Yudkowsky to get a prestigious prize in literature (or find someone who’ll do that)?
24% chance
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance