Will I spend a significant amount of time on creating chances for Yudkowsky to get a prestigious prize in literature (or find someone who’ll do that)?
Plus
11
Ṁ241Dec 31
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
91% chance
How many books will Yudkowsky mark that he liked reading in his manifold market for 2024?
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?
90% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
6% chance
If Eliezer Yudkowsky wins the Nobel Peace Prize, what will it be for?
If Yudkowsky is offered VP nomination, does he accept?
78% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
9% chance
In 2030, will Yudkowsky think his 2023 Time op-ed helped or harmed our chances?
If someone accepts Eliezer Yudkowsky's offer to write an HPMOR sex scene in return for payment, will he follow through?
92% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6% chance